התפרצות אומיקרון בסין, 2022
Residents in #Shanghai screaming from high rise apartments after 7 straight days of the city lockdown.
The narrator worries that there will be major problems.
(in Shanghainese dialect—
he predicts people can’t hold out much longer—he implies tragedy).
2) “yao ming le” & “yao si”
— both expressions meaning “life and death”
but they also more literally means “asking for death”
. Narrator eventually implies shit is gonna hit the fan soon if this continues.
3) The video has been verified by @patrickmadrid’s family.
It has also been verified by my sources as commonplace.
Also, Shanghainese is a local dialect (
not really propaganda useful)—only 14 million out of 1.3 billion Chinese even speak.
I only speak it because I was born there.
4) China honestly might be hitting a breaking point with #Ba2.
Either it keeps going with tragedies growing or it changes direction
. See🧵 below. Hunger is growing fast.
5) The narrator sounds familiar—
“I’m breaking through the blockade now—you quickly arrest me, do you have any food to eat in prison?”
Police: “We will arrest you and sent you back
. We don’t even know where we can buy food outside.”
6) More remarkable in this telephone conversation is how philosophical
of a chat the resident and police officer got toward the end. Censors blocked the subtitles
—but in Shanghainese the caller gets the cop to think about repercussions for violent rebellion if hunger continues.👇
7) Of course, Chinese govt doesn’t condone balcony singing
or & protesting
. And of course, a govt drone appears:
“Please comply with COVID rules
. **Control your soul’s desire for freedom**.
Do not open window to sing.” ➡️yes the drone actually said that.
8) Are people going hungry in Shanghai? Yes.
Many people down to one meal a day
. You can see here people rationing their vegetables into meal chunks.
Dialogue is in Shanghainese, so it’s legit—checks out.
9) There are indeed widespread reports of hunger and food distribution issues
. Let’s just suppose it only affects 10% of Shanghai’s 26 million people
—that’s still 2.6 million starving. Even if it’s 5% having hunger crisis—
that’s still 1.3 million people!
10) Some asked—how can the Chinese government allow millions to go hungry?
Well, most Westerners never learned about the horrific
**GREAT CHINESE FAMINE** of 1959-1961…
in which **up to 55,000,000** (15-55 mil) Chinese starved to death. It’s history.
11) The Great Famine
“is widely regarded as the deadliest famine & one of the greatest man-made disasters in human history”— death toll of 15-55 million.
📍The % dead in provinces: Anhui (18% dead), Chongqing (15%), Sichuan (13%), Guizhou (11%) and Hunan (8%).
12) There is a big rich-poor divide in food access. r
icher neighborhoods have plenty. Food delivery used to cost 30 RMB,
but delivery fee now 200-300 RMB! So you can get food—
but only you are resourceful enough to find delivery and can afford it even if you do
13) I think there is definitely a food shortage.
Just like we are sure COVID
#Ba2 is run amuck in China.
The trickier thing is
to know how much critical food insecurity / hunger prevalence there is.
My family in SH can’t agree
—because some life in wealthier parts than others.
Police in Shanghai recently started wearing thermal-imaging
view screen helmets designed to detect people on the streets with fevers,
China is not letting a good crisis goto waste
as chance for their surveillance measures.
15) FOOD PRICE GOUGING—
in normal times, these veggies would cost 20-30 RMBs.
This guy charges 100 RMBs plus 200 RMB delivery fee—300 RMBs—
so a ~10x cost increase for food, assuming you can even get delivery. That’s not sustainable for 26 million people.
16) last week, I warned about how Shanghai was at a tipping point
. As world financial capital city,
Shanghai’s government is desperately trying to stop it before it gets further out of control
. But I feared it might be already too late.
17) Let this sink in— The U.S. Consulate in Shanghai had
to beg for food for US Marines using WeChat.
18) What is a long term effect of the Great Chinese Famine
—assuming one didn’t die among 15-55 million?
—it found fetuses exposed to the famine, later in adulthood
, sadly had 4x higher glucose/diabetes risk!
19) Isn’t China good with logistics?
Yes, except Chinese daily diet
is mostly reliant on unfrozen
and unprocessed foods
with almost no shelf life.
That’s how Chinese diet & food system has been.
But that is harder with COVID to deliver
than more processed Western diets (ironic?)
20) Chinese society’s deepest fight
is against the humiliation of poverty & hunger.
The modern core social contract of
CCP is to provide food
and prevent mass hunger.
If CCP fails to deliver on food to its citizens
—that is actually the greatest social failure
in Chinese eyes!
21) Every Chinese-born person knows this—
food is the main way to show both love
to show off there is too much food.
who survived the Great Famine
knows that is the hard line that
society can never cross again.
22) As @RodZeidan
points out in his thread on the food situation
food deliveries are certainly possible —
in wealthier parts of Pudong,
it just take extremely diligent monitoring
of food/grocery delivery apps
—closing and reopening frequently.
Not everyone is that savvy/wealthy.
23) But elsewhere in the city,
there are scenes
of looting / mob attacking food shipments too.
There are many other small protest videos too—
but you get the idea.
It’s not everywhere
, but it is happening often I’m told.
ארגון הבריאות העולמי עוקב אחרי ההתפרצות של נגיף הקורונה בסין,
החמורה מאילו שאירעו במדינה מאז התחלת המגיפה
China’s Economic Activity Collapses
Under Xi’s Covid Zero Policy
May 16, 2022, 5:00 AM GMT+3
- Factory output, retail plunged in April;
- joblessness rose
- Economists say Covid restrictions mean slow recovery